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Zecco.com » General Investing » Screening & Picking » The Bears are back in town
Last post 05-16-2008, 12:28 AM by jackg1606. 49 replies.
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  •  05-13-2008, 4:14 PM 29008 in reply to 29001

    Re: The Bears are back in town

    Reply Quote
    Going long just beneth major resistance in a bear market heading into a recession would be insane.

  •  05-13-2008, 5:33 PM 29012 in reply to 29001

    Re: The Bears are back in town

    Reply Quote
    Stocks can go up in a recession if you pick the right stocks. There can even be a bull market when investors are expecting an economic recovery.

    I notice you bears are not sharing trading data. That's interesting.

  •  05-13-2008, 6:03 PM 29013 in reply to 29012

    Re: The Bears are back in town

    Reply Quote
    I don't trade on Zecco.  I use Tradestation.  I'm also not always short.....recent long trades include DRYS, SSO, DIG, AUY, and UYG.  As of late the main symbols I trade are SKF, SDS, QID, DUG. 

  •  05-15-2008, 10:20 PM 29189 in reply to 29001

    Re: The Bears are back in town

    Reply Quote
    RichDad:
    dude, you will be bearish all the way to 15,000


    True. 15,000 sounds like a good number. I believe it might go there. I'm wondering if I should take some off the table along the way just in case the market has a significant correction if it passes resistance too far too fast, like a coiled spring. I honestly wouldn't mind another 10% correction because that would mean that I could profit once again from the decline.

    Most people believe that the end of worrying is when we pass resistance. My belief is that is when the worrying begins (except for the option traders that have buy stops at or slightly above the resistance levels). Be fearful when others are greedy!!!! Since I don't see to many greedy people, I'm not fearful. I don't see too many fearful people and I surely don't see as many low PEGs, so it's not as much of an opportunity as it was when the market was about 8% lower as stocks that I've been tracking typically trade at 1.9 to 2.25 beta.
    Aqua

  •  05-16-2008, 12:28 AM 29193 in reply to 29189

    Re: The Bears are back in town

    Reply Quote
    The downtrend line which has been in play since October was broken today.  There is now a better probability for this rally to continue in the short term.  However, economic fundamentals do not support a Dow 15,000 at this time.  I still find it extremely difficult to build a case for bullishness as many indicators point towards a lack of economic growth over the next couple of years. 
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