Alright, solar companies. This is my mini evaluation process:
- If the solar company is serving the US market and making it's profits in US dollars...I'd re-think that one. Suntech Power Co., Ltd (NYSE:STP, ADR) serves the Chinese market and makes their profits in Reminbi (up 7% against the USD, so far).
- Geography also places a key factor because you need to look at the regulations surrounding the solar industry. Is the US promoting solar technology? Sure, most American's will say "yes" without thinking, but seriously--in comparison to the initiatives currently in place in the rest of the world, the U.S. isn't looking so hot. Also consider, 2/3's of China's land area recieves more than 2000 hours of sunlight--more than any other region in the world at a similar latitude/longitude (yes, more than Japan/Europe, etc) it sort of made sense for them to create loads of solar initiatives, attracting all kinds of foreign investment---something of which Suntech will be directly benefiting from...
- Solar power appliances are also rather commonplace there, seeing as there's massive demand for electricity (the Chinese use more solar energy per capita than anywhere else in the world)..fun fact: over 3000 manufacture solar powered water heaters...
- In addition, I like to take a peak at who their partners and subsidiaries are, and what kind of photovaltaic supply contracts they have--STP has a 66% stake in another company called MSK Corporation (largest BIPV (building integrated photovoltaic) supplier in the world.
But anyway, bottom-line, in terms of solar-look at the balance sheets, look where revenues are being produced, and how long their contracts are...I just said Suntech for the stake of stability, they are the leading manufacture of PV cells, they have killer conversion efficiency, and solid financials that are further backed up with long term contracts from all over the globe....will it be up or down if 5 days? couldn't tell you. But look at the numbers for 5 seconds and you might begin to see the signs of something more long term...
SolarFun Power Holdings
Jiangsu Sunshine Company -- i think is only A-share though
Trina Solar - design the overall system, make wafers, and invested heavily in RD
...start looking at wind while you're at it.