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Last post 06-03-2008, 12:19 AM by Scott ¥$£. 2 replies.
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  •  05-12-2008, 4:22 PM 28958

    Hong Kong ETF

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    I just wanted to see if anyone else here knows a little more than me about the current market conditions in Hong Kong, relative to China and the rest of southeast Asia: i.e. stronger, weaker, ect...    I bought some June 20.00 strike calls for the etf EWH, when it was hovering in the mid 18's.  Basically on the premise  that the Hong Kong and Chinese market were recouping from the excessive hits that they had taken since November of last year.  The Hang Seng rose substantially a couple of weeks ago, and EWH hit $20, but in the last couple of days, they've both been taking some serious hits, and EWH sits a little over $19.

    I'm just looking for a little insight or reasons to as why the Hang Seng has done so poorly in the last couple of days, and any factors that will define its immediate future, i.e. rising price of the dollar.

    -mgrass 

  •  05-12-2008, 6:10 PM 28965 in reply to 28958

    Re: Hong Kong ETF

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    I'm not an expert in the Asian markets, but I believe inflation has a lot to do with it.
    The economy of Hong Kong and China, had an inflation of 8.5% in April. That's a LOT.
    Some people see stock market has some hedge against inflation, but I personally think there's a limit how much inflation the stock market can assume. 8.5% has such a huge magnitude and much of that has to do with the rising prices of commodities.
    The market is just erratic right now. Faced with recession worries in the US, which affects the exporting industry in China and also the inflation worries.

    And also, the earthquake... Things definitely don't look too good.
    But that being said, it might be wise to jump in when others are fleeing. But who knows, maybe the worst still has yet to come.



    -jamesrrdaniel
  •  06-03-2008, 12:19 AM 30362 in reply to 28965

    Re: Hong Kong ETF

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    Asia is overrated.  Look at South America.

    Good Luck,
    Scott
    S&P 500 Trend
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