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The Zecco Inside Scoop

Bullish on Big Banks

Bank stocks surged last week led by huge trading volume of four big banks—Fannie Mae, Freddy Mac, Citigroup and Bank of America. In fact, on Tuesday of last week, these four behemoths made up 40% of ALL trading volume on the NYSE! Insane! Especially considering these companies were kryptonite a few months ago and were a big part of dragging down the market. 

 

It's mind-boggling to see such huge volume by four huge financials that were underperforming the past few months. For example, BAC is trading at around $17 now, but they were at $2.53 in March of this year. In fact the whole financials picture was a lot different this past year. It seems like just yesterday when Freddie and Fannie were nationalized, Lehman went under, then Merrill CEO John Thain accepted bailout funds just after spending 1.2 million dollars to decorate his office and Bank of America nearly literally became the Bank of America. Short memories notwithstanding, it makes one wonder whether these trades are based on speculation or on solid fundamentals. And the $64,000 question is where will they go from here? I was curious to see if the Zecco Community had any insight here. It turns out they were also bullish on these financials last week. In fact, Citigroup, Bank of America and Fannie occupy 3 of the 4 most held positions at Zecco Trading. 

 

So I ask you, what do you think this is all about? Were you one of the bulls trading the financials last week? What’s the best strategy for the financials? Any options traders playing both sides? Let me know your thoughts!

Published Friday, September 04, 2009 7:53 PM by Jeroen Veth - CEO
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Comments

 

GoldStandard said:

I doubled my bet on $30 AIG puts a few days ago. Now have a 35-45 strangle on it and a 1-2.50 strangle on CIT. If CIT declares, I'll make a few cents, if they pull out of it, it could take off like the others. Part of my original intent when I opened my account was to buy FITB when it went to a dollar, as well as some dividend stocks, but when it did, everything I had (on margin as well) was down quite a bit also so I didn't bother doing anything. Should have sold everything and done it anyway. I ended up adding more funds later, should have done that then as well.
September 4, 2009 11:32 PM
 

ChrisCal said:

I bought Citibank in March with some spare cash I could afford to lose. I figured that it would get better or get bailed out. It has gone up more then double than my initial price since then.
September 8, 2009 8:31 PM
 

Kcvapor12 said:

will citi rise? or is it done for awhile
September 10, 2009 12:41 AM
 

Malik84 said:

its a wraaaaaaaaaaap
September 10, 2009 5:51 PM
 

shock market said:

FRE, FNM, C -- I don't know why people are bullish on them? Buy transporation which is way too much undervalued and in most cases the last sector to get cleared for takeoff. Citi won't be profitable for another 506 Q's and WHY people buy that when they diluted shares and trimmed their business? I can't understand WHY WHY? I too surprised with your post on these stocks insane surge.

I am bullish on ship and air transportation. imho
September 11, 2009 12:28 AM
 

adrianh said:

Not sure if there are "solid" fundamentals or not. The reality says that those stocks are under accumulation and by the time  fundamentals are known, it's already too late. Just as economists realized that the economy was in crisis when the DJI was at 7000 (by that time, it has lost 50% of the 14000 high), these stocks are no different. I have to agree with ChrisCal, some spare cash on these stocks is not a bad idea. They have enormous potential.
September 12, 2009 12:23 AM
 

shock market said:

Adrianh, I still can't understand the enormous potential.
Citi diluted like anything. I bought Citi when it plunged to 1's and 2's and sold them some days back as I don't see much upside surprises for that stock. It was just a UP trend with the rest of the market. So I sold them as I beleive there are a lot of other way too much undervalued SOLID ones which got another 300-700 percent upside potential. Citi UP is almost saturated.

Good luck fellow men.
September 12, 2009 1:13 PM
 

shock market said:

Aha. I was right there with Airline. Now, guys watch out for Ship transportation ones. Especially DRYS OCNF will rock. At least 300-500 percent if you keep them for an year. Forget about financials as they already went up like anything.
September 17, 2009 5:12 PM
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The Zecco Inside Scoop
The Zecco Inside Scoop is a regular chat with Michael Raneri, CEO of Zecco Holdings, Inc. You’ll get his first-hand account of what we’re doing at Zecco to give you the ultimate investing experience. So grab a cup of coffee and join Michael for his take on all things Zecco.

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