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Purely Technicals' Blog

Purely Technical: Model Portfolio Update

Purely Technical (March 7, 2007) - TheMarketMessenger.com

The following article was provided in the March 4th edition of "Purely Technical", TheMarketMessenger.com's weekly newsletter. You can find the full newsletter on the home page at www.themarketmessenger.com.

Model Portfolio Update 

The markets experienced a bit of turmoil this week and TheMarketMessenger Model Portfolio wasn’t spared. A number of positions were stopped out, most of them with a profit. The silver lining was that we’d had a really good run in the period leading up to the correction and even performed slightly better than the market over the week.

The model portfolio declined 4.16% this week compared with the 4.41% decline experienced by the S&P-500.

 

The market declines were large enough to push the S&P-500 into negative territory for the year (-2.18%). That is in comparison with the +12.74% performance of our hypothetical portfolio.

No doubt those stats are nice, but we aren’t going to rest on past laurels. There is a lot to be done over the coming days and weeks to make sure that things remain on track. For now, we’re going to keep a large portion of the portfolio in cash and in the SPY market ETF.

The current positions in the model portfolio (and approximate portfolio allocation of each) are:

SPY (30%), PIR (4%), AMD (9%), SLM (5%), PALM (10%) and CHS (6%)

Around 35% of the model portfolio is in cash and we’re looking to add MU (5%) and Q (5%) on Monday.

Disclaimer: The results listed above are based on a model portfolio. These trades may or may not have been actually executed. Model portfolio performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated trades do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades may not have been actually executed, the results may have over- or under-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity, money flow, etc. One’s results may have been better or worse than the result’s portrayed. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. No independent party has audited the hypothetical model portfolio performance depicted herein, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that it adheres to the assumptions or conditions specified. While the results presented are based on certain assumptions that are believed to reflect actual trading conditions, these assumptions may not include all variables that can affect, or have affected in the past, the execution of trades indicated herein. The hypothetical portfolio results are based on the following assumptions: 1) The hypothetical portfolio record does not include deductions for slippage. 2) The simulation assumes purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. In actual trading, the prices attained may or may not be the same as the assumed order prices. 3) The hypothetical portfolio results do not take into account any tax implications arising from the sale or purchase of securities, which in actual trading do have an impact on gains and losses.

You can find the latest updates to the model portfolio at our temporary home - our public listing at stockcharts.com. Use the following link to access the same: http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID1676634

While you're there, we'd appreciate your voting for us. If you wish to do so, you will find the voting link on the bottom of that page. We appreciate your support. Thank you!

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Sign up to our FREE Weekly Newsletter

You can also join the mailing list to receive - Purely Technical - by visiting our homepage at www.themarketmessenger.com and filling in the "Join Our Newsletter" form.

We look forward to being your best source for technical market analysis, stock picks, options picks and education in technical analysis and trading.

______________________________________________

 

by Asher Pinto

by TheMarketMessenger.com

 

Disclaimer:

This material has been provided for your informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security or financial product that may be referenced herein. Further, the information contained in this informational newsletter does not constitute investment advice or investment advisory services. All securities trading, whether in stocks, options, or other investment vehicles, is speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We shall not be held responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the use of any information provided herein. You are strongly encouraged to seek personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on any information that we publish.

Published Wednesday, March 07, 2007 4:08 PM by Purely Technical
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Comments

 

jwilliamson said:

Looking forward to watching the results. Thanks for posting.
March 12, 2007 12:02 AM
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