All content in the ZeccoShare community is generated by its members and does not contain advice or recommendations on behalf of Zecco Holdings or Zecco Trading. More>>
Content Name: CommunityDisclaimerShortLeftNav
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content
Icecoldstocks.net's Blog

Icecoldstocks.com Wednesday Morning, December 12th Market Summary

Wednesday Morning, December 12th 

   SITE NEWS

New IceMD Recording:

Tips to Protect Ourselves From Hospital Risks;

   Dow Stock News

The Wall Street Journal writes that Citigroup (C) appointed Vikram Pandit as its CEO.

The Wall Street Journal reports that GE (GE) units NBC will give money back to advertisers who did not get all of the audience which they were promised for certain shows.

The Wall Street Journal writes that a slowdown in the US will hurt GE profits.

The Wall Street Journal also reports that Boeing (BA) says that its delayed 787 should be delivered by its new target date.

JPM - downgraded to Hold at Merrill

BA - downgraded to Market Weight at Morgan Stanley

T DBAB Price Target Raised to $50

   Ice Man Stocks

Regular Trades the Ice Man may consider:

T - held in well
GROW - 20
MCD - held in well

Depressed stocks the Ice Man may buy:

GOOG - 684.25 Gap
FRO - 44.70 Gap
EXM - 46.80 (20 DAY MA)
OSG - 68.75 Gap
BIDU - 354.30 (MA), 341.40 Gap
AFL - 57.20 Gap
PCAR - Pays $1 div on friday 75 Gap, 74 Gap
SPX - 1562.80 Gap
RUT - 752.15 Gap
COMPX - 2620 Gap

Breakdown Shorts:

DVA - Breaking 57

   Media Commentators

Cramer's Comments:

Bullish: KO, PEP, MRK, MO, FMCN, BIDU, PTR, CHL, APD, CELG;

   Ice Cold Commentators

Break Man Video Summary:

Break out buy (or short sell) watch list for short term gains December 12 includes:CHNR, ONXX, BWLD, STC, NCTY, VLCM, FORM, LEAP.

Several candidates for break out or short sell  plays for at least short term gains by buying the break out (or selling the break down) on good volume and closing at least some on the  first day.

Swing Man Market Recap:

The market opened slightly higher Tuesday morning and traded in a fairly narrow range during the morning hours.  Just before the FED announcement the SPX was trading at a new high for the rally at 1524.  At 2:15 the FED announced its decision to cut both the federal funds rate and discount rate by 25 basis points.  In addition, the FED´s accompanying statement did not lead one to conclude they were going to be aggressive with future easing.  A disappointed market reacted by dropping nearly 30 SPX points (200 Dow points) in just a few minutes after the release.  The selling did not stop at these levels, it only continued right into the close.  At the close the SPX/DOW were down 2.35% and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.45%.  Bonds soared 2 points, Crude gained $1.40, and Gold slumped $9.00.  Monday night, I wrote that the market would NOT react too kindly to a ¼ point cut especially if the FED statement was not deemed to be accommodative.  The combination of today´s disappointing FED action and the market being overbought was the perfect recipe for a hard sell off and that´s exactly what occurred Tuesday.

Let me start out by stating that I don´t envy the position FED Chairman Bernanke finds himself dealing with these days.  When making policy he must make difficult choices between containing inflation and spurring economic activity.  He also is faced with a falling dollar which has created anxiety (lost confidence) from people around the world.  Tuesday, he seemed to take the middle ground by cutting both rates by ¼ point and stating that inflation was still a concern.  Needless to say, the market was not at all satisfied with the announcement.  The market participants definitely wanted the FED to assure them that their primary focus was to address the slowing economy and current credit crunch.  To show their dismay, traders immediately sold on the announcement and kept selling until the close.  The selling resulted in a huge reversal down in the major indexes that inflicted some technical damage to the charts.

As you are aware, the SPX had previously broken out of a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern and was trending higher for a few days coming into Tuesday´s announcement.  While it was true that the market was near term overbought, the 1490 level on the SPX should have acted as a strong area of support.  Instead, sellers were able to take out this level rather easily.  When a major support level is taken out without a fight you have to respect the message the market is sending and believe me it´s not bullish.  The market is currently fixated on the FED and it simply did not like what the FED had to say.  As a result, the inverse head and shoulders pattern has been negated and we must now adjust to this failure. Therefore, we need to once again become much more defensive in our approach to these markets.  The hope for bulls near term is that today was a blatant overreaction and that the market will immediately come roaring back since many of the major indexes still have support of their 20 day moving averages.  Tomorrow, I will be watching closely to see how the market responds to support.  If the rally is reflexive, it may provide an opportunity to position a trade short.

In summary, the market absolutely rebelled in what the FED said Tuesday.  The selling was intense and this resulted in a breach of our SPX 1490 support area which raises a cautionary red flag over the near term.  It´s far too early to predict anything longer term at this stage.  For now, we must respect the message of the market and act accordingly.  Let´s see how the market responds to support tomorrow and be prepared to act accordingly.  Remember that capital preservation comes first so please keep things to a minimum until the picture becomes clear.

Good Trading.


   CNBC Fast Money Review

1. FED DISAPPOINTS; MARKET SLAMMED

The headline: Fed Disappoints Traders Hoping For More Aggressive Interest Rate Cuts.

Dylan Ratigan explains The Fed cut both the funds rate and the discount rate by ¼ point. Now the fed funds rate stands at 4.25% and the discount rate stands at 4.75%.
Jeff Macke feels guidance from the Fed was “mealy’ and he sold COH on the news.
Karen Finerman says she doesn´t pay that much attention to the Fed. Instead she trades on valuation.
Steve Liesman reveals that the Fed might be considering alternative measures to address liquidity issues. He suggests Wall Street could be misreading Tuesday´s Fed decision as the only action that the Fed is taking.

2. FINANCIALS IN FLAMES AFTER FED

The headline: Brokers, Bond Insurers, and Money-Center Banks Pounded After Fed Decision.

Pete Najarian says there´s still a lot of uncertainty in the investment banks. Investors don´t know what the write-down numbers will be.
Jeff Macke says take financials off the table.
On a related note, Karen Finerman explains that Citi named Vikram Pandit as their brand new Chief Executive, Tuesday. She´s not sure why the stock dropped on the news.
Guy Adami thinks investors would have preferred to see someone from the outside take over the company.

3. THE BROTHERS GRIM

The headline: LEH releases quarterly earnings Thursday before the bell.

Karen Finerman explains that she´s done research and found that in the last quarter, Lehman moved $11 billion from “Tier 2’ to “Tier 3’ assets. She interprets that as a negative sign and she´s reiterates short LEH.

4. TOUGH TECH

The headline: Tech Shares Hold Tough On Strong Moves In T, TXN, CSCO.

Pete Najarian likes AT&T´s 13 billion buy back as well as their dividend. AT&T is doing everything right, he adds. Also “because the gadget revolution has just begun’ Najarian he likes CSCO and JNPR.
On a related note, Pete Najarian is cautious about the chipmakers, especially MU and RMBS.
Jeff Macke recommends buying T on any dip.
Guy Adami prefers INTC.

5. BIOGEN BOUGHT?

The headline: BIIB Currently Up For Sale - Pops Today On Virtually No News.

Pete Najarian explains that options investors are buying December options and selling July options. To him that suggests a deal could be imminent and he thinks it will be between $85 - $90 per share.
Karen Finerman adds that current speculation suggests either PFE or MRK could be the buyers.
Jeff Macke adds I don´t think it will be Merck.

6. POPS ADN DROPS

MA popped 1%: Guy Adami likes this stock.
BBI popped 7%. BMO Capital markets said the video rental chain, which is down 38% year to date, had sunk to "unwarranted" lows.
 MCD popped 2%: Jeff Macke says MCD is working!
BA dropped 4%: Guy Adami says he still likes the stock.
MEDX dropped 21%: Pete Najarian says this drop illustrates the risk investors take on with biotech.
SBUX dropped 4%: Guy Adami thinks the stock drops to $18.
DISH dropped 3%. AT&T said it would wait until 2008 to make a decision between DirectTV and Echostar to become its sole future satellite television partner.

7. YOUR FIRST MOVE FOR WEDNESDAY

Jeff Macke recommends MCD and T on any dip.
Guy Adami likes CSCO.
Karen Finerman says long GS short LEH, dollar for dollar.
Pete Najarian thinks JNPR is a buy.


   News and Events Digest

Breaking News

Steel producer ArcelorMittal (MT) Wednesday said its board of directors has approved a new share buyback program for up to a maximum of 44 million shares.

In a statement, ArcelorMittal said the new share buyback program is aimed at offsetting the issuance of 44 million ArcelorMittal shares that took place in connection with the ArcelorMittal merger Nov. 13.
ArcelorMittal said the new program would be realized in a two-year time frame. - MarketWatch

Nuance Communications, Inc. (NUAN) today announced that it plans to offer in an underwritten public offering 9,600,000 shares of its common stock. Warburg Pincus, a selling stockholder, is expected to sell an additional 4,800,000 shares in the offering, and certain members of Nuance management are expected to sell an additional 600,000 shares in the offering. Nuance will not receive any proceeds from sales of shares made by selling stockholders. Nuance and Warburg Pincus expect to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional aggregate of 2,250,000 shares of common stock, or 1,125,000 shares of common stock from each.

Geron Corporation (GERN) announced today that Merck & Co, Inc. has filed an Investigational New Drug application (“IND’) with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA’) for a cancer vaccine candidate that targets telomerase. Merck is developing the vaccine under a July, 2005 Research, Development and Commercialization License Agreement with Geron, which provided Merck with exclusive worldwide rights to develop and commercialize non-dendritic cell based vaccines targeting telomerase. Geron has received a $4 million milestone payment from Merck on account of the IND filing, and is eligible to receive additional development milestones as well as royalties on worldwide product sales.

Orthopedics products maker Zimmer Holdings Inc. said Tuesday the Food and Drug Administration granted approval to its NexGen LPS-Flex Mobile Knee. - AP

Media Summary

According to Reuters, the Fed is considering more actions to improve liquidty issues in the economy and announcements could come as early as today. On proposal would include a new liquidity facility that will auction loans to banks

Reuters writes that BHP Billiton (BHP) says it proposal to buy Rio Tinto (RTP) is still pending.

The Wall Street Journal writes that as Saudi Arabia builds up its infrastructure it uses more oil inside the country, leaving less to export.

The New York Times writes that another large study has shown the health dangers of GlaxoSmithKline drug Avandia.

The New York Time writes that Alan Greenspan says that the subprime mess was "an accident waiting to happen".

The New York Times writes that CNBC will begin to provide content to Yahoo! (YHOO) Finance.

The FT writest that the Fed will set up a system to auction loans to banks.

The FT also reports that Freddie Mac (FRE) says that it is facing much larger losses in the future.

Barron's reports that e-commerce revenue is up 18% this holiday season to $18.79 billion.

Bloomberg writes that China retail sales rose 19% in November.

M&A Activity:

Teradyne Inc. (TER) signed a definitive agreement to acquire Nextest Systems Corp. (NEXT), a San Jose flash memory test company, for about $325 million, or $20 a share, in cash. The price represents a premium of about 67% over Nextest's closing price Tuesday of $11.99. Teradyne, a North Reading, Mass., electronics test equipment company, expects the acquisition to reduce its 2008 earnings per share and slightly add to 2008 non-GAAP earnings per share after excluding the purchase accounting impacts. Teradyne expects the deal to close in the first quarter. The company said Nextest will run as a business unit within Teradyne's Semiconductor Test Division. - MarketWatch

Regency Energy Partners (RGNC) on Wednesday said it would pay $655 million to buy CDM Resource Management Ltd. in a move to become the "first major midstream company to buy a natural gas compression service firm." Regency Energy Partners said it expects the CDM to immediately add to cash available for distribution to its unit holders. Regency will fund the transaction through $446 million of bank debt, $205 million of deferred-pay limited partner units issued to the owners of CDM, and a $4-million capital contribution by the general partner of Regency in order for it to maintain its current ownership level. - MarketWatch

IPO Central:

Xinyuan Real Estate (XIN) priced 17.5 million shares at $14 a share, raising $245 million in its initial public offering on Wednesday. The company ranks as the first Chinese real estate developer to go public in the U.S. Xinyuan Real Estate priced in the middle of its $13-$15 range. - MarketWatch

Wednesday Stock Split Summary:

Recent Stock Split Announcements:

On December 6, Standard Parking Corporation (Nasdaq:STAN) announced that its board of directors approved a 2:1 stock split to be distributed on January 17, 2008.

On December 11, Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI) announced that its board of directors approved a 2:1 stock split to be payable on January 2, 2008.

Companies that have previously announced stock splits which become effective in the next several trading days.

Ex-Date Split Symbol Company

12/14 5:4 XTO XTO Energy, Inc.
12/17 2:1 DNR Denbury Resources, Inc.
12/18 2:1 BWA BorgWarner, Inc.
12/19 2:1 KMT Kennametal, Inc.
12/31 2:1 CAM Cameron International Corp.

Economic Data:

8:30 Export Prices
8:30 Import Prices
8:30 Trade Balance
10:30 Crude Inventories
2:00 Treasury Budget

   Upgrades and Downgrades by Sector:

Aerospace
 EDO EDO Corp Friedman Billings Downgraded from Outperform to Mkt Perform $63 to $56

Airlines - Passenger
 CAL Morgan Stanley Upgraded to Overweight
 AMR Morgan Stanley Downgraded to Underweight
 CAL Morgan Stanley Downgraded to Cautious

Beauty Products
 ULTA Ulta Salon Wachovia Initiated at Outperform
 ULTA Ulta Salon JP Morgan Initiated at Overweight

Biotech
 ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals JMP Securities Upgraded from Mkt Outperform to Strong Buy
 CYTX Cytori Therapeutics Broadpoint Capital Initiated at Buy
 CELG Celgene Cowen & Co Downgraded from Outperform to Neutral
 CRL Charles River UBS Downgraded from Buy to Neutral

Business Services
 MMS MAXIMUS KeyBanc Capital Mkts Upgraded from Buy to Aggressive Buy $50
 PROJ Deltek Wachovia Initiated at Outperform
 SDBT SoundBite Communications Needham & Co Initiated at Buy $10
 SDBT SoundBite Communications Cowen & Co Initiated at Outperform
 SDBT SoundBite Communications Cantor Fitzgerald Initiated at Buy $10

Combat Vehicles
 FRPT Force Protection Stanford Research Initiated at Sell $5

Computer Hardware
 TER Goldman Sachs Upgraded to Neutral

Computer Services
 SVVS Cowen Likes the stock here
 AKAM Akamai Tech Cowen & Co Downgraded from Outperform to Neutral

Computer Software
 IPAS iPass Morgan Joseph Initiated at Buy $6
 SAP SAP AG Credit Suisse Downgraded from Outperform to Underperform

Construction
 CRDN JPMS Likes the Risk/Reward here.

Environmental Prod
 FLDR Flanders JMP Securities Downgraded from Mkt Perform to Mkt Underperform

Finance Companies
 WAL Western Alliance Bancorp Sandler O'Neill Downgraded from Hold to Sell $20

Foods
 IPSU Imperial Sugar BWS Financial Coverage Resumed Sell $9

Gaming Operations
 WYNN Bear Stearns Sees Valuation as Very Attractive
 WYNN GABE Sees the Stock as Very Attractive

Healthcare
 CRME OPCO Says to buy on strength

Healthcare Equipment
 PHMD PhotoMedex Broadpoint Capital Initiated at Buy
 COO Cooper Cos Jefferies & Co Cut Price Target Hold $46 to $41

Industrial Equipment
 TNDM Neutral Tandem CIBC Wrld Mkts Initiated at Sector Outperform $25

Motor Vehicles
 ARGN Amerigon KeyBanc Capital Mkts Initiated at Buy

Oil and Gas
 ACGY Acergy Lehman Brothers Upgraded from Equal-weight to Overweight
 REP Repsol SA Lehman Brothers Upgraded from Underweight to Equal-weight
 ATPG FBRC Top Pick
 LUKOY Lukoil Lehman Brothers Downgraded from Overweight to Equal-weight

Publishing
 GCI Gannett Credit Suisse Initiated at Outperform $46
 NYT New York Times Credit Suisse Initiated at Outperform $22

Recreation
 BC Brunswick RBC Capital Mkts Cut Price Target Sector Perform $25 to $23

Regional Banks
 BBX BankAtlantic Friedman Billings Upgraded from Underperform to Mkt Perform
 FBP First Bancorp Kaufman Bros Initiated at Buy $11
 BAC Merrill Lynch Downgraded to Hold
 WB Merrill Lynch Downgraded to Sell

Savings & Loan
 FBTX Franklin Bank Corp Keefe Bruyette Downgraded from Mkt Perform to Underperform $6.50 to $4.25

Semiconductors
 CMOS Goldman Sachs Upgraded to Neutral
 GNSS Genesis Microchip Jefferies & Co Upgraded from Underperform to Hold
 ALTR Smith Barney Price Target Raised $26

Solar Energy
 SPWR Raymond James Upgraded to Outperform

Specialty Funds
 SAF SAFECO Friedman Billings Upgraded from Underperform to Mkt Perform $62

Svcs-Vehicle Leasing
 HTZ Hertz Global Banc of America Sec Downgraded from Buy to Neutral

Telecommunications
 CSCO Jeffries Price Target Raised $40
 CBEY Raymond James Downgraded to Market Perform
 CBB Cincinnati Bell Bear Stearns Downgraded from Outperform to Peer Perform

Published Wednesday, December 12, 2007 2:05 PM by Icecoldstocks.net
Content Name: blogInnerAdPartBottom
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content

RSSRSS Syndication Feed

Or, add this feed directly to your favorite reader by clicking the button below. That way, you’ll never miss a post.

Add to NewsGator Add to Rojo Add to Pluck Add to my AOL Add to Netvibes Add to Pageflakes Add to my Yahoo Add to Bloglines Add to Google

Comments

No Comments
Anonymous comments are disabled

The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


RSSRSS Syndication Feed

Or, add this feed directly to your favorite reader by clicking the button below. That way, you’ll never miss a post.

Add to NewsGator Add to Rojo Add to Pluck Add to my AOL Add to Netvibes Add to Pageflakes Add to my Yahoo Add to Bloglines Add to Google
Icecoldstocks.net's Blog
Content Name: BlogLayoutRight
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content


ZeccoShare is currently in Beta mode. In case you wish to provide feedback, please post it in the ZeccoShare Forum.

ZeccoShare provides a confined and secured environment. The information you share (e.g. profile, holdings, trades, performance) is only displayed to other Zecco members. Guest (i.e. not signed in) are not able to see any individual member information. Guests will only be able to see anonymous, aggregated community data.

Zecco members marked with a ‘Zecco Associate’ medal are employees of Zecco.com. They are not registered representatives of any broker/dealer, and are not registered with any national securities exchange. All information displayed and all posts made by these users are their personal information and opinion, and not the opinion or information of Zecco.com. Zecco.com is not a broker/dealer, has no access to material non-public information about publicly traded companies, and does not make any recommendations regarding the purchase or sale of any security.


All content in the ZeccoShare community is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco Holdings or its employees. Your use of the ZeccoShare Community is conditioned to your acceptance of all Disclosures and Terms of Service.
Close [X]
Content Name: CommunityDisclaimerLong
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content

Terms of Service - Privacy Policy


Zecco.com is a financial portal of Zecco Holdings, Inc., which also provides access to Zecco Trading, Inc.’s trading service. Zecco Holdings, inc. is not a securities broker/dealer. All securities and investments are offered to self-directed investors by Zecco Trading, Inc. Member FINRA /SIPC. More information is located on the disclosures page.

At Zecco Trading, you can make up to 10 free stock trades in any one month that you maintain a $2500 minimum account net equity. After that, you pay only $4.50 per stock trade. Options trades are $4.50 plus $.50 per contract. Only the first account of any account type is eligible for the Zecco Trading, Free Trading program. Any multiple accounts of the same type with the same registration are not eligible for the free trading program. Free Trading Program is only available through Zecco.com. $0 minimum to open cash and IRA accounts.

* Margin accounts require a $2,000 minimum balance for opening and trading on margin. Margin trading involves risks and is not suitable for all accounts.

Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Multiple leg options strategies involve additional risks and multiple commissions, and may result in complex tax treatments. Please read Spread Trading Disclosure.

Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of a mutual fund or ETF carefully before investing. A mutual fund/ETF's prospectus contains this and other information, and should be read carefully before investing.

System response and access times may vary due to market conditions, system performance, and other factors.

The content of Zecco Holdings, Inc.’s and Zecco Trading, Inc.’s websites, including research, tools and securities symbols, is for educational and informational purposes and should not be intended as a recommendation or solicitation to engage in any particular securities transaction or investment strategy. You alone are responsible for evaluating the benefits and risks associated with the use of our services or products and to decide which securities and strategies better suit your financial situation and goals, risk profile, etc. The projections regarding the probability of investment outcomes are hypothetical and not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. They do not reflect actual investment outcomes and are not guarantees of future results. Tools’ calculations do not take into consideration commissions, margin interest and other costs that may impact investment outcomes. All investments involve risk. Losses may exceed the principal invested. Past performance of a security, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results. Neither Zecco Holdings, Inc. nor Zecco Trading, Inc. offers any tax, legal or financial advice.

No consideration was paid for any testimonials displayed on this website. Your experience may vary, and the testimonials are no guarantee of future performance or success. Zecco Holdings, Inc., Zecco Trading, Inc.’s and their independent providers are not liable for any errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance upon information contained herein. By accessing our websites, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.

Market Data Copyright © QuoteMedia. Data delayed 15 to 20 minutes unless otherwise indicated. RT = Realtime, EOD = End Of Day, PD = Previous Day. Powered by QuoteMedia. Terms of Use.

© 2006-2008 Zecco Holdings, Inc. and Zecco Trading, Inc., Member FINRA /SIPC All rights reserved.