Dave's Daily Market Comment

Dave's Daily Market Comment 05 17 07

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MARKET COMMENT

May 17, 2007





The stock market is a little tired. Friday’s option expiration is upon us and could give us some strange action even though lately the affair has been business as usual.

The big news today was Bernanke chatting about the subprime market problems being no big deal and that things will work themselves out. Sort of like the stock market bubble worked itself out from 2000 to early 2003. Then the Fed cut rates to the max to alleviate the decline but only replaced one bubble for another. But you know that. So the “Greenspan put” has been replaced by the “Bernanke put”, but again, you know that.















Other news includes talk of a higher dollar based on stronger economic data followed by “much” weaker gold relatively.







Then the last tidbit of news came from the OPEC chief who said calmly that prices “weren’t high” and there are ample supplies. No production increases is the message meaning supplies remains tight. That got the shorts scrambling today. By the way, hurricane season starts in just two weeks…you knew that right?













Meanwhile most US equity sectors took a breather. Options expiry tomorrow and consumer sentiment numbers could shake things up one way or another. I’m keeping my eye on underperforming small-caps and tech. Without their participation it’s really just a LBO and private equity game in large-caps…and you know that.









I could chart more overseas markets today but I’ll save that for the weekend. I suspect we could have some fireworks tomorrow based on options expiry and consumer sentiment--but you know…oh nevermind!

Have a great weekend!

Disclaimer: Among other issues, the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: GLD, DBE, IWM and QQQQ.

Published Thursday, May 17, 2007 6:02 PM by fryguy
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Dave's Daily Market Comment
The ETF Digest, published by Dave Fry, was one of the first online newsletters devoted exclusively to providing market commentary on Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). His 30 years of experience in trading and portfolio management is available to you through his pioneering online investment newsletter. Dave’s Digest covers a broader range of ETFs and markets than any other newsletter.
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