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Dave's Daily Market Comment

Dave's Daily Market Comment 03 29 07

   David Fry ( ETF Digest ) Submits:Seeking Alpha Certified


MARKET COMMENT

March 29, 2007





Let’s not be kidding around, today was a window dressing exercise. [Like the image--not a great effort.] Isn’t that against the rules now? Yes, but ask Cramer about rules enforcement please.

The only surprise today was a fall in the gold prices which had no logic. Sure, more sellers than buyers would be the simple answer. But, today’s action and similar activity from prior end of week smackdowns gives credence to the idea that someone upstairs doesn’t want to see the metal higher and is willing to act on that desire. Some call it the Gold Cartel consisting of the IMF, the Exchange Stabilization Fund, the Fed and the Bank of International Settlements. Their agents in chief are large investment banks [GS, JPM and so forth].

I’m not a conspiracy buff, but on days like today I’m more sympathetic since today gold should have risen. Now the IMF did say it wanted to or was contemplating selling 400 tons of gold to cover their expenses. They’re not making loans anywhere so there’s no fresh income to cover expenses. Rather than cut expenses they’re doing just what they advise their clients not to do--sell their assets for a living.















Finishing up commodities, let’s look at DBC which is the commodity tracking index we prefer given its mix.














Economic news was good today with a upward revision to GDP, but for the week as a whole the news sucked period.































Let’s look around the horn a little bit.








































That about gives you enough to judge what’s going on. Tomorrow the rough and tumble month of March is over. I was glad to see February and January go as this just isn’t my favorite market time of year. In fact subscribers know I wanted to take January off and go tramping in Patagonia. And, I should have and just stayed there for awhile.

We start a new quarter and the markets may show their true hand. Then there’s the crazy little man in Teheran to deal with so one never knows.

And, no, I don’t know why gold is repeating this end-of-week smackdown. You’ll probably be hearing more conspiracy talk this coming week. It may very well be that the IMF is following thru on their previous suggestion that they’ll sell 400 tons of gold. That’s as much gold as is in GLD! Think about that.

Have a good weekend.

Disclaimer: Among other issues, the ETF Digest maintains positions in: GLD, DBP, DBE, DBC, UDN, IEF, TTH, EWY, EWJ, EEM, EFA, EWG, EWO, EWN, EWA and ILF.





Published Thursday, March 29, 2007 11:13 PM by fryguy
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Dave's Daily Market Comment
The ETF Digest, published by Dave Fry, was one of the first online newsletters devoted exclusively to providing market commentary on Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). His 30 years of experience in trading and portfolio management is available to you through his pioneering online investment newsletter. Dave’s Digest covers a broader range of ETFs and markets than any other newsletter.
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