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Dave's Daily Market Comment

Dave's Daily Commentary 11 21 06

David Fry (ETF Digest) submits:





MARKET COMMENT

November 21, 2006





Someone’s messin’ with poor innocents who’ve bought into the rumor that there’s a possibility of a “Platinum” ETF that, when and if issued, would surely drive the metal’s price through the roof. [Note story here] From the action today, it looks like an old-fashioned “snipe hunt” to me where some are left holding the bag.

The chart of the active contract shows a net loss of $15 on the day with an intra-day high exceeding $50 above the previous day’s close. Somebody got “gamed” at least today anyway!















As with platinum, copper markets have also seen similar rumors. But, given already tight supplies, a copper ETF seems unlikely. But don’t sell Wall Street short period! It’s not really a surprise to hear rumors like this about copper since it was rapidly approaching obvious support at $3.00.





Metals, particularly of the less liquid variety, can break your heart and wallet. As an aside, I remember being long silver back in 1985 [I think] at around $7.00. I was at one of those WS conferences and waltzed into a meeting with silver prices pushing $11.00 dreaming of the many ways I was going to spend the quickly acquired treasure. Smugly leaving the meeting a scant two hours later and bragging about my certain gains a colleague whispered that silver had plummeted to $8.00. Not wanting to throw up in a crowd, I rushed back to my room and hyperventilated there maintaining my dignity if nothing else. Such can be the grief and comeuppance only commodity trading can provide.

Speculation and greed isn’t confined to commodity markets. There was much hoopla today over GOOG’s ascent to $500 and AAPL’s new highs. So “search” and “iPod’s”
are what the US economy is all about. Who are we to argue?










We should inspect the usual suspects again to see if there’s anything else to glean from today’s action.
















































Elsewhere these are some random “fryguy” specials.




























That about covers the world for today doesn’t it? We’ll post once more tomorrow and then won’t post again for subscribers until Sunday.

Have a great evening!

Disclaimer: The ETF Digest maintains positions in: GLD, SLV, CEF, FDN, HHH, IEF, XLB, SPY QQQQ, PZJ, PZI, PBW, EWZ, EWW, EWP, TRF, IFN and FXI.

Published Tuesday, November 21, 2006 11:20 PM by fryguy
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Comments

 

MarketDance said:

I like your comments on platinum - amazing how quickly market "conspiracy theorists" can create a rumor that moves prices in the absence of real news!  Thanks for contributing.
November 21, 2006 7:08 PM
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Dave's Daily Market Comment
The ETF Digest, published by Dave Fry, was one of the first online newsletters devoted exclusively to providing market commentary on Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). His 30 years of experience in trading and portfolio management is available to you through his pioneering online investment newsletter. Dave’s Digest covers a broader range of ETFs and markets than any other newsletter.
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