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Crazy Jim Smith's Blog

Declining PPI Sets Up Rate Cuts

Just how much the US economy has slowed can be shown by today’s release of the Producer Price Index from the Bureau Of Labor Statistics . PPI numbers reached a peak growth rate of .9%(adjusted) back in April and those strong numbers were one of the factors that prompted the Federal Reserve to maintain its policy of interest rate rises.

So from the April peak of .9%, the PPI index increased at a lower rate of .6% in June followed by an even lower rate of .1% for the month of August. The growth rate in September came in sharply lower at -1.3%, which gave a clear indication that inflationary pressure on the economy was easing.

Today we get the October PPI rate and it come in at a surprisingly larger negative growth rate of –1.6%. That decline points very strongly to the Federal Reserve starting a campaign of interest rate cuts.

Copper prices on NYMEX halted their slide on the news and US markets rallied with the Dow gaining 86.13 points to close at 12,218, and the S&P 500 gained 8.8 points to close at 1,393.22.

Published Tuesday, November 14, 2006 9:42 PM by crazyjimsmith
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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Crazy Jim Smith's Blog
I live in Sydney Australia and most of the time I focus on the Australian stock market. I have a knack of identifying trading opportunities so if I see something I will blog about it.

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