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buyupside's blog

When Will the Mining Bubble Burst?

Pushed up by the global demand for base metals and mergers and acquisitions speculation, mining stocks are trading at or near all-time highs. But many of these stocks are making price bubbles with their price patterns showing parabolic upsides.

Rio Tinto (RTP), a large mining conglomerate, is one such stock. Its price upside is unsustainable, but when will this bubble burst?

Proponents for global growth tell us that strong demand for commodities will continue for years. But at some point the demand will begin to slow, at which time the commodity-based stocks will have significant corrections.

The log chart for RTP shows what could happen. When the bubble bursts, RTP could drop 50 percent or more and still be within its long-term upside price channel.

Investors could be in for a bumpy ride.



Related Articles:

Has Rio Tinto Peaked? - Two Chart Views
Metal Mining Stocks
Price Patterns - A Bubble Top Is an Extreme Pattern





Published Thursday, January 03, 2008 3:22 PM by buyupside
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About buyupside

I have been investing in stocks for 25 years. I developed and maintain buyupside.com, a free web site about stocks and the stock market. The site includes hundreds of articles and charts that are written for individual investors. Popular topics include dividend reinvesting, retirement planning and investing, using options and many more.

The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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buyupside's blog
I have been investing in stocks for over 25 years. Almost everyday I write an article about investing for buyupside.com, my free site for retail investors. Here I will post some of those articles.

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