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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

Will the market continue to push higher over the short-term?

I stated yesterday that "there seems to be decent support at the 1438-1440 area and strong resistance above at the 1450 level. I expect to see some chop in this range. Expiration week is next week which typically is flat to slightly bullish so we could see a retest of the 1450 area although I expect to see another failure at this level."

 

Today the market opened lower and pushed down to 1434 where it immediately found support and bounced hard. So hard that it practically recovered the entire loss from yesterday. When I stated that we could see the 1450 area again I wasn't expecting it to occur in one day. Could today's action just be a dead cat bounce or will the market continue to push higher and retest the recent highs around 1460?

 

The open will most likely be influenced by the PPI report due out tomorrow. A positive inflation report will most likely cause an upside gap in the indices which are typically faded especially when the indice gapping is in an overbought state. Tomorrow could prove to be very interesting.

 

Overbought/Oversold levels for April 12, 2007

  • SPY -  72.3 (overbought)
  • DIA - 64.4 (neutral)
  • IWM - 66.7 (neutral)
  • QQQQ - 63.0 (neutral)
  • GLD - 67.5 (overbought)
  • OIH - 78.2 (overbought)

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Andrew Crowder, Chief Investment Strategist, www.crowderinvestments.com

Published Thursday, April 12, 2007 8:42 PM by acrowder
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.

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