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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

Week after June Triple-Witching Lower 15 out of last 17 years

Earlier in the week I mentioned that “since the low established in July 2006 the S&P (SPY) has been higher during expiration week 10 out of 11 times. If the market lives up to its recent historical precedent I would expect to see the historically weak period of post options expiration kick in.”

Barring a major setback in the upcoming inflation reports over the next two days the market should be able to continue its winning ways again this week. However, I do expect to see another test to the downside next week. Maybe, not to the recent lows, but at least a decent move to the downside particularly if the market can reach an overbought state going into the week of post expiration. Also, the week after June Triple-Witching has seen the Dow lower 15 out of the last 17 years.

Overbought/Oversold levels for June 13, 2007

  • SPY -  53.9 (neutral)
  • DIA - 53.4 (neutral)
  • IWM - 46.9 (neutral)
  • QQQQ - 55.0 (neutral)
  • GLD -  39.7 (neutral)
  • OIH - 60.4 (neutral)

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Have a great night!

Andrew Crowder, Chief Investment Strategist, www.crowderinvestments.com

Published Thursday, June 14, 2007 12:07 AM by acrowder
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.

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