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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

Seasonal Tendencies - What Are They Telling Us?

Will the market experience the seasonally bullish that typically occurs on the trading day prior to the Labor Day holiday? The market has already witnessed three straight days of advances and some of my shorter-term proprietary overbought-oversold indicators have pushed near extremes, so probability says a short-term reprieve is near. However, it must be noted that over 76% of the trading days prior to the Labor Day holiday weekend have been higher with an average return of over 0.4% since 1950.

One other note of interest is the fact that when the S&P 500 (SPY) has advanced two days prior to a 0.5% gap higher (like it did today), the S&P, when in a bear market, was higher approximately 23% of the time the following day.

I will be back with a seasonal take on September tomorrow. Stay tuned!

As for my options strategies, the Sector ETF Extremes Options Trading Strategy is very close to a signal. We could see one as early as tomorrow so subscribers, as always, I will send out a real-time trade alert if and when a trade occurs. For those of you who autotrade, well, you have no worries. Hopefully you can just enjoy the gains, that is of course if all goes as well as planned.

Interested in how our flagship strategy, the ETF Extremes Options Strategy, has performed since it was initiated well over 2 years ago (with commissions and our monthly fees included) click here:

http://www.crowderoptions.com/another-successful-etf-extremes-trade-sample-allocation-important-please-read/

Overbought-Oversold levels for August 28, 2008

ETF Extremes Options Trading Strategy

* S&P 500 (SPY) - 65.6 (neutral)
* Dow Jones (DIA) - 67.8 (neutral)
* Russell 2000 (IWM) - 66.1 (neutral)
* NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) - 54.8 (neutral)

Sector ETF Extremes Options Strategy

* Biotech (IBB) - 45.6 (neutral)
* Consumer Discretionary (XLY) - 64.2 (neutral)
* Health Care (XLV) - 51.5 (neutral)
* Financial (XLF) - 66.1 (neutral)
* Energy (XLE) - 54.7 (neutral)
* Industrial (XLI) - 67.9 (neutral)
* Materials (XLB) - 68.0 (neutral)
* Real Estate (IYR) - 67.8 (neutral)
* Retail (RTH) - 65.4 (neutral)
* Utilities (XLU) - 74.0 (overbought)

If you would like to follow my strategies with real-time alerts or have them auto-traded by a participating broker please click the following link! Try our strategies for a 30 day risk-free trial!

Published Friday, August 29, 2008 1:42 AM by acrowder
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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Crowder Investment Research ...
At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.

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