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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

S&P Breaks Through Overhead Resistance. Will the Breakout Fail?

The S&P 500 broke through a stingy level of strong overhead resistance today to close at a six year high. The move higher today was a continuation of the intra-day oversold bounce that occurred Friday and seemed to surprise quite a few traders on Wall Street. The problem with this move is that I am not so sure it is sustainable. The S&P seems to have hit a peak in one of our short-term indicators which, in the past, has often led to a short-term pullback over the following week. Given the accuracy of this momentum indicator I have to lean with the probabilities and side with bears on this one. In my opinion, we could be in for a failure of today’s breakout over the short-term.  

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RSI Wilder (5) for December 5, 2006

  • SPY - 69.00 (neutral)
  • DIA - 62.5 (neutral)
  • IWM - 71.7 (overbought)
  • QQQQ - 59.0 (neutral)
Published Monday, December 04, 2006 11:36 PM by acrowder
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At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.

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