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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

More Seasonality

Short post again tonight. I am trying to work on the Insider’s page of the site which should be updated in the next few weeks. Also, I am working on a few new portoflios involing LEAP spreads. I was planning on introducing them this week, but I thought this was unfair to my paid subscribers, so I will introduce it to them first with guidelines and will report to my loyal blog readers next week. I established the positions earlier this week and I will post everything, including a few graphs next week. Be prepared to learn about the Greeks.

As I stated yesterday Friday brings one of the more consisitent seasonal biases. Over the last 50 years the trading day prior to Labor Day has been higher 75% of the time with an average return that exceeds 0.4%.

Tomorrow should bring low volume, particularly after teh last of the economic reports are out. I would expect to see volume taper off as we move to the closing bell. However, Bernanke is speaking tomorrow in Jackson Hole. Ahh, Jackon Hole, I spent a quite a few days there in my 20’s. Such a beautiful place and the skiing is phenomenal, but I digress. Fedspeak has had a tendency to move the markets and any slight inference of a move in the interest rates could create some wild volatility on a day that should otherwise be spent in transit to the last holiday destination of the summer. Well, I can assure you I will be grinding it out here tomorrow and I hope tht we do see some volatility tomorrow.

Overbought/Oversold for August 30, 2007

SPY - 52.2 (neutral)
IWM - 48.3 (neutral)
DIA - 54.8 (neutral)
QQQQ - 63.4 (neutral)
GLD - 51.8 (neutral)
OIH - 62.3 (neutral)

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Andrew Crowder, www.crowderinvestments.com

Published Friday, August 31, 2007 12:33 AM by acrowder
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Crowder Investment Research ...
At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.
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