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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

Higher-beta sectors in an overbought state. OIH bounces.

After a slow start the market managed to snap back again today. The higher-beta Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) and Russell (IWM) led the way and finished near their respective highs for the day. The move pushed QQQQ into overbought territory and IWM further into a very overbought state. Typically, we see weakness over the short-term(1-5 days) when our indicators move into this type of extreme, but as we all know, in a momentum driven market the likelihood for a continued move to the upside is possible. This is why it is imperative to implement a stop-loss plan if you decide take a position at this juncture.

IWM has moved lower over the short-term (1-5 days) every time it has reached this level over the course of the last year. Hopefully, it will live up to the historical precedent once again. As we all know there are no certainties in trading, but we can certainly stack the odds in our favor if we stay diligent and patient with our strategies.

OIH bounced higher again today. As I reported yesterday, our indicators have been right on in predicting short-term bounces in the Oil Services sector. Many of you have taken advantage of the extreme situation that we have reported and have reaped handsome profits as a result. Congrats!

I would also like to let everyone know that we will be offering the opportunity to have our Short Iron Condor auto-traded. We will be limiting the amount of subscribers to 75 so spots will go quickly. If you wish to participate email us at support@crowderinvestments.com and we will do our best to save you a spot once we make the portfolio live, which will occur after the March expiration cycle.

Overbought/Oversold levels for February 21, 2007

  • SPY - 71.4 (overbought)
  • DIA - 59.3 (neutral)
  • IWM - 84.8 (very overbought)
  • QQQQ - 77.1 (overbought)
  • OIH - 52.4 (oversold)
  • GLD - 71.0 (overbought)

We work hard to bring you our latest views, opinions and research on a daily basis. If you are a loyal reader and find our thoughts useful please show us your support by joining our newsletter service.  We currently follow 3 stock option strategies and one stock-based strategy in our investment newsletter. All of our strategies use ETFs as the underlying. Check it out! You get two free months of our investment newsletter when you purchase our White Paper.

Watch and learn how we implement our strategies.

Have a great night! 

Andrew Crowder, Chief Investment Strategist, www.crowderinvestments.com

Published Wednesday, February 21, 2007 10:24 PM by acrowder
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.
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