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Crowder Investment Research (Crowder's Corner)

Christmas Correction or Santa Claus Rally?

The market gapped up at the recent highs at the open only to give back all of the gains shortly after the opening bell. Today marks the seventh straight day of what has been a very tight trading range in the major indices, particularly the S&P (SPY). I expect to see a breakout of the range within the next three trading sessions. Options expiration is only a few days away so volatility should pick up and we also have a few key economic releases over the next few days which should give the bulls or bears the conviction needed to move the market outside of the current short-term range.

The Dow and S&P are at the high side of neutral territory while the high-beta Nasdaq 100 and Russell are on the low side. If the high-beta indices can move the market lower, preferably to a oversold state I would be willing to look at taking on some long positions with the historically postive seasonality ahead. Seasonality has been rather tricky over the past few months so it pays to be patient in this type of market. Wait for the high-odds set-up. We talk about our preferred set-ups in great length in our newsletter and White Paper. Anyway, have a great night and pay close attention to the areas of support and resistance that I have mentioned over the past week. 

RSI Wilder (5) for December 13, 2006

  • SPY - 66.5 (neutral)
  • DIA - 64.1 (neutral)
  • IWM - 49.4 (neutral)
  • QQQQ - 45.7 (neutral)

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Kindest regards,

Andrew Crowder
Chief Investment Strategist
Crowder Investment Research, LLC
 www.crowderinvestments.com  

Published Wednesday, December 13, 2006 11:22 PM by acrowder
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The above content is provided for educational and informational purposes only, does not constitute a recommendation to enter in any securities transactions or to engage in any of the investment strategies presented in such content, and does not represent the opinions of Zecco or its employees.


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Crowder Investment Research ...
At Crowder Investment Research, LLC (www.crowderinvestments.com) we offer our thoughts on several stock and options-based strategies that might complement your long-term investment objectives. We provide you with the trading tools necessary to produce returns that attempt to outperform the major indices on an annual basis regardless of the economic environment. Our extensive research of numerous options-based strategies has shown that uncomplicated strategies, when applied effectively, consistently provide greater gains. Read the thoughts and ideas of our Chief Options Strategist, Andrew Crowder. He will provide you with educational tools, useful technical and seasonal indicators, and a wealth of investment research (updated daily) to increase your stock and options trading knowledge.

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